Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 12/07, 10:30

Prediction: Aaddi Gupta vs Alice Ferlito

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Aaddi Gupta Alice Ferlito
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aaddi Gupta 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLL
Alice Ferlito 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aaddi Gupta 1478 · Alice Ferlito 1483
Aaddi GuptaAlice Ferlito
Our model49%51%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Aaddi Gupta makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Aaddi GuptaAlice Ferlito
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.21-1.3
Games (G-P)6.8-9.49.7-9.9
Aces1.30.8
Double faults4.93.8
1st serve %54.7%58.4%
Break %45%47.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aaddi Gupta

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Deniz Dilek
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Noemi Maines
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
03/06 Farhat Aleen Qamar
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
12/05 Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/05 Patricia Rodriguez Carretero
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/05 Sarah Van Emst
W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/04 Ann Akasha Ceuca
W15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
15/04 Patricia Rodriguez Carretero
W15 Pretoria · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/01 Martina Colmegna
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
06/01 Ashmitha Easwaramurthi
W35 Nairobi · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Alice Ferlito

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Corroios-Seixal
1-2 9-14 L
05/07 Amanda Montes Khaghani
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-5 W
10/06 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Madrid
0-2 4-12 L
31/05 Beatrice Ricci
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
21/10 Maria B Bandera
ITF W35 Norman · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Claudia Ferrer Perez
ITF W15 Logrono
0-2 7-12 L
15/08 Carol Young Suh Lee
ITF W35 Vigo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/08 Nahia Berecoechea
ITF W35 Vigo · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/08 Yasmine Mansouri
ITF W35 Vigo · Hard
2-1 17-10 W
12/08 Madison Frahn
ITF W35 Vigo · Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aaddi Gupta vs Alice Ferlito?

Our model gives 66% to Alice Ferlito, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.