Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 12/07, 12:00

Prediction: Carlota Corte vs Liv Boulard

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Carlota Corte Liv Boulard
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carlota Corte 1-9 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLLL
Liv Boulard 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlota Corte 1407 · Liv Boulard 1486
Carlota CorteLiv Boulard
Our model39%61%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liv Boulard (rating 1407 vs 1486).
  • Liv Boulard is in better form: 40% recent wins.
  • Note: Liv Boulard makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Carlota CorteLiv Boulard
Win %10%40%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.2-1.80.9-1.3
Games (G-P)5.2-11.29.6-11
Aces0.61.6
Double faults3.54.1
1st serve %51.4%55.8%
Break %59.6%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlota Corte

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/06 Zoziya Kardava
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
15/06 Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/06 Raquel Gonzalez Vilar
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Marta Soriano Santiago
W35 Estepona · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/04 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Madrid
0-2 6-12 L
21/04 Benedetta Ortenzi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/04 Miriana Tona
WTA Madrid · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/03 Emira Diabate
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/12 Franziska Sziedat
ITF W15 Melilla · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/12 Victoria Lazarova
ITF W15 Melilla · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Liv Boulard

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
05/07 Polina Kudermetova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
30/06 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Paula Ormaechea
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/06 Emma Bousquet
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Jenny Lim
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Hanna Bougouffa
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
10/06 Deborah Chiesa
W35 Nice
0-2 1-12 L
20/05 Carolina Dibenedetto
W15 Grado · ~Clay
1-2 15-18 L
08/05 Sarah Iliev
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlota Corte vs Liv Boulard?

Our model gives 75% to Liv Boulard, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.