Tennis · W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 12/07, 13:30
Prediction: Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Elizabeth Jurna
Prediction summary
Winner
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Elizabeth Jurna
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Celia Cervino Ruiz
7-3 (W-L)
Elizabeth Jurna
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Celia Cervino Ruiz 1557 · Elizabeth Jurna 1424
| Celia Cervino Ruiz | Elizabeth Jurna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celia Cervino Ruiz (rating 1557 vs 1424).
- Celia Cervino Ruiz is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Elizabeth Jurna makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Celia Cervino Ruiz | Elizabeth Jurna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.5 | 8.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celia Cervino Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorena Solar Donoso W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayla Aksu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Paula Ortega Redondo W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Valentina Vargas W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Viola Turini W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Elizabeth Jurna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Caterina Odorizzi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Ainara Fernandez Sanchez W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Laima Vladson W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Kristina Novak W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Ariana Arseneault W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 29/04 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Analu Freitas W15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/04 | Matylda Burylo UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celia Cervino Ruiz vs Elizabeth Jurna?
Our model gives 79% to Celia Cervino Ruiz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.