Tennis · ATP Umag · 12/07, 17:00

Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Marco Cecchinato Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWW
Genaro Alberto Olivieri 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLLW
Head-to-head
Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1534 · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1502
Marco CecchinatoGenaro Alberto Olivieri
Our model55%45%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1).

Statistics

Marco CecchinatoGenaro Alberto Olivieri
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11-1.3
Games (G-P)12.8-11.39.7-11.5
Aces30.3
Double faults2.81.5
1st serve %73.5%55%
Break %43.2%34.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.2
Over 20.5: 65% · 1.80 Under 20.5: 35% · 1.90

H2H · Marco Cecchinato 10 Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 10 Genaro Alberto Olivieri

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DateSetsGamesRes.
07/08/24
Challenger Bonn
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marco Cecchinato

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
05/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 19-20 L
04/07 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
02/07 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
30/06 Filippo Romano
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-1 17-10 W
22/06 Tomas Barrios Vera
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
18/06 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Parma · Clay
1-2 7-15 L
17/06 Federico Bondioli
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
12/06 Jesper De Jong
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 10-16 L

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Noa Vukadin
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/07 Taro Daniel
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
22/06 Tristan Boyer
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
16/06 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
03/06 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/06 Martin Krumich
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
2-1 14-15 W
30/05 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/05 Luca Nardi
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
27/05 Elias Ymer
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri?

Our model gives 66% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.