Prediction: Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Guerrieri
Federico Agustin Gomez
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Guerrieri
5-5 (W-L)
Federico Agustin Gomez
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Guerrieri 1528 · Federico Agustin Gomez 1479
| Andrea Guerrieri | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Guerrieri (rating 1528 vs 1479).
- Federico Agustin Gomez dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 43.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Andrea Guerrieri | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.8 | 10.9-13 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Luca Nardi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | David Goffin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Federico Agustin Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Dalibor Svrcina French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Skander Mansouri Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez?
Our model gives 59% to Andrea Guerrieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.