Tennis · ATP Bastad · 12/07, 10:00
Prediction: Martin Krumich vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Krumich
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Krumich
4-6 (W-L)
Frederico Ferreira Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Krumich 1518 · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1432
| Martin Krumich | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Krumich (rating 1518 vs 1432).
- Martin Krumich is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Martin Krumich | Frederico Ferreira Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.5 | 11.3-13 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Alan Wazny Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 09/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/05 | Federico Agustin Gomez French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Krumich vs Frederico Ferreira Silva?
Our model gives 60% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.