Tennis · ATP Bastad · 12/07, 15:00
Prediction: Nikola Slavic vs Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Slavic
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Slavic
4-6 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Slavic 1467 · Miguel Damas 1479
| Nikola Slavic | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nikola Slavic | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.4 | 10.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.3
Over 19.5: 66% · 2.00
Under 19.5: 34% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Slavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Finn Bass Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Store |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Matic Dimic M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Stepan Baum M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Karl Friberg M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/05 | Yannik Kelm M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Harold Huens Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Slavic vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 69% to Miguel Damas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.