Tennis · ATP Bastad · 12/07, 13:30
Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Thomas Faurel
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Thomas Faurel
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
7-3 (W-L)
Thomas Faurel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1520 · Thomas Faurel 1486
| Elmer Moller | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.7 | 12.8-12 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.8
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 04/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/04 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Federico Cina ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Florent Bax Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Valentin Vacherot French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 21/05 | Dalibor Svrcina French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Jay Clarke French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Thomas Faurel?
Our model gives 58% to Elmer Moller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.