Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 12/07, 12:30
Prediction: Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofey Skatov
Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Timofey Skatov
4-6 (W-L)
Vitaliy Sachko
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Timofey Skatov
1–0
Vitaliy Sachko
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofey Skatov 1513 · Vitaliy Sachko 1535
| Timofey Skatov | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Vitaliy Sachko dominates on serve: 10.4 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Timofey Skatov 1–0 Vitaliy Sachko (1).
Statistics
| Timofey Skatov | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.3 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 10.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Timofey Skatov 1 – 0 Vitaliy Sachko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Timofey Skatov 1–0 Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/23 Challenger Karlsruhe | 2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofey Skatov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Anirudh Chandrasekar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Alex Barrena Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | James Watt Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Gonzalo Bueno French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Jack Pinnington Jones French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko?
Our model gives 53% to Vitaliy Sachko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.