Tennis · ATP Bastad · 14/07, 11:00
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Moise Kouame
Estimated games
25.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
6-4 (W-L)
Moise Kouame
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1530 · Moise Kouame 1472
| Nuno Borges | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nuno Borges (rating 1530 vs 1472).
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.8 | 13.5-14.1 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +5
Over 20.5: 81% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 19% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Marin Cilic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 17-21 | L |
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Batsomi Marobela Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Alejandro Tabilo French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 28/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Marin Cilic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Patrick Kypson ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/04 | Philip Henning M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame?
Our model gives 70% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.