Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 12/07, 10:00
Prediction: Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Dylan Dietrich
Thiago Monteiro
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dylan Dietrich
7-3 (W-L)
Thiago Monteiro
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dylan Dietrich 1554 · Thiago Monteiro 1548
| Dylan Dietrich | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dylan Dietrich | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.3 | 14.5-13.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 42% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 24.5
Over 24.5: 47% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 53% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dylan Dietrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Otto Virtanen ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Adrien Burdet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/05 | Noa Vukadin Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/03 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/03 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/03 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteiro?
Our model gives 52% to Dylan Dietrich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.