Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 12/07, 11:00

Prediction: Federico Cina vs Calvin Hemery

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Federico Cina Calvin Hemery
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLW
Calvin Hemery 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1505 · Calvin Hemery 1508
Federico CinaCalvin Hemery
Our model50%50%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Calvin Hemery dominates on serve: 14 aces and 47.3% break avg.

Statistics

Federico CinaCalvin Hemery
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.8-10.912.6-12.4
Aces3.114
Double faults2.53.3
1st serve %66.4%76%
Break %55.7%47.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Cina

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Patrick Zahraj
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
29/06 Andres Santamarta Roig
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Hugo Gaston
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
22/06 Gianluca Cadenasso
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Taro Daniel
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 14-13 L
12/06 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
10/06 Jan Choinski
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/06 Marko Topo
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/05 Jesper De Jong
French Open · Clay
0-3 7-18 L

Calvin Hemery

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Daniel Michalski
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
04/07 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
02/07 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/06 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Lyon · Clay
1-2 16-19 L
02/06 Khololwam Montsi
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
27/05 Orel Kimhi
Challenger Centurion · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
26/05 Khololwam Montsi
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/05 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
French Open · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
10/05 Florent Bax
Challenger Brazzaville · Clay
2-1 17-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Calvin Hemery?

Our model gives 61% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.