Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Kilian Feldbausch
Miomir Kecmanovic
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kilian Feldbausch
8-2 (W-L)
Miomir Kecmanovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kilian Feldbausch 1578 · Miomir Kecmanovic 1531
| Kilian Feldbausch | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilian Feldbausch (rating 1578 vs 1531).
Statistics
| Kilian Feldbausch | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.4 | 14.1-14.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 70.5% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.6
Over 22.5: 54% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 46% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilian Feldbausch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Martin Krumich Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Miomir Kecmanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-28 | L |
| 25/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Nuno Borges French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 24/05 | Fabian Marozsan French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 17/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Alejandro Tabilo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/05 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic?
Our model gives 56% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.