Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Yannick Hanfmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Martinez
Yannick Hanfmann
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Yannick Hanfmann
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Martinez
1–3
Yannick Hanfmann
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1476 · Yannick Hanfmann 1470
| Pedro Martinez | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pedro Martinez 1–3 Yannick Hanfmann (4).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.4 | 13.6-14.7 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 10.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 81% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 22.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.6
Over 22.5: 68% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 32% · 2.00
H2H · Pedro Martinez 1 – 3 Yannick Hanfmann (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Martinez 1–3 Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/24 ATP Chengdu | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/02/23 ATP Santiago | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/02/22 ATP Santiago | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/05/18 Challenger Braga | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Arthur Fery French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 23/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Fonseca ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Hamad Medjedovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 20/05 | Luciano Darderi ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Yannick Hanfmann?
Our model gives 60% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.