Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 14/07, 10:00

Prediction: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Dominic Stephan Stricker Jaume Munar
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dominic Stephan Stricker 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLWLLW
Jaume Munar 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1526 · Jaume Munar 1480
Dominic Stephan StrickerJaume Munar
Our model57%43%
Market32%68%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominic Stephan Stricker (rating 1526 vs 1480).

Statistics

Dominic Stephan StrickerJaume Munar
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.3-1.4
Games (G-P)11.6-10.712.8-12.8
Aces4.65.9
Double faults32.6
1st serve %73%74.2%
Break %47%29.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.4 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.9
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 44% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dominic Stephan Stricker

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Philip Henning
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Kai Wehnelt
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 Niklas Schell
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
17/06 Alessandro Hunziker
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/06 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
01/06 Adrian Oetzbach
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
25/05 Martin Krumich
Challenger Kosice · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
14/05 Arthur Fery
Challenger Zagreb · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Mili Poljicak
Challenger Zagreb · Clay
2-1 20-18 W
10/05 Andrew Paulson
Challenger Zagreb · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Jaume Munar

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 18-22 L
02/07 Jacob Fearnley
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-14 W
30/06 Francisco Cerundolo
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-8 W
22/06 Zizou Bergs
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Martin Damm
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
25/05 Hubert Hurkacz
French Open · Clay
1-3 15-20 L
21/05 Mariano Navone
ATP Geneva · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/05 Francisco Comesana
ATP Geneva · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
19/05 Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Geneva · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/05 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Challenger Valencia · Clay
1-2 16-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar?

Our model gives 57% to Jaume Munar, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.