Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 12/07, 03:00
Prediction: Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Omar Jasika
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Omar Jasika
9-1 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omar Jasika 1588 · Koki Matsuda 1551
| Omar Jasika | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Omar Jasika | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.9 | 9.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 46% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Ko Suzuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omar Jasika vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 56% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.