Prediction: Shintaro Imai vs Naoki Nakagawa
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Shintaro Imai; the market gives 50% to Shintaro Imai (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Shintaro Imai is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Naoki Nakagawa 4-6 over theirs.
| Shintaro Imai | Naoki Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Shintaro Imai 0–2 Naoki Nakagawa (2).
Statistics
| Shintaro Imai | Naoki Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.9 | 11.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 10.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 81% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 33.9% |
H2H · Shintaro Imai 0 – 2 Naoki Nakagawa (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shintaro Imai 0–2 Naoki Nakagawa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/19 ITF M25 Tay Ninh | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/03/15 ITF Japan F3 | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shintaro Imai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Taki Adachi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Uisung Park M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Naoki Nakagawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/03 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shintaro Imai vs Naoki Nakagawa?
Our model gives 52% to Shintaro Imai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

