Prediction: Yuki Mochizuki vs Omar Jasika
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Omar Jasika; the market gives 73% to Omar Jasika (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Yuki Mochizuki with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Omar Jasika has piled up 9-1 in the same span.
| Yuki Mochizuki | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1460 vs 1579).
- Omar Jasika is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yuki Mochizuki 0–1 Omar Jasika (1).
Statistics
| Yuki Mochizuki | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.4 | 12.4-7.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 47.7% |
H2H · Yuki Mochizuki 0 – 1 Omar Jasika (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuki Mochizuki 0–1 Omar Jasika
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/23 Challenger Yokohama | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Anton Chekhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/04 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Omar Jasika
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Ko Suzuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Mochizuki vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 70% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.