Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 11/07, 03:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Omar Jasika
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
7-3 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew Dellavedova
1–2
Omar Jasika
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1633 · Omar Jasika 1573
| Matthew Dellavedova | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1633 vs 1573).
- Head-to-head: Matthew Dellavedova 1–2 Omar Jasika (3).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.5 | 12.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 1 – 2 Omar Jasika (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 1–2 Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 UTR Pro Craigieburn | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/06/22 M15 Heraklion | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/12/17 Australian Open WC | 0-3 | 11-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Ko Suzuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 62% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.