Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Taiyo Yamanaka
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Matthew Dellavedova; the market gives 86% to Matthew Dellavedova (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Matthew Dellavedova sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Taiyo Yamanaka arrives on a 7-3 run.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1597 · Taiyo Yamanaka 1521
| Matthew Dellavedova | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1597 vs 1521).
- Taiyo Yamanaka dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Taiyo Yamanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.6 | 11.9-11 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 6 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 18/05 | Ronit Karki Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/05 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Taiyo Yamanaka?
Our model gives 74% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.