Tennis · Challenger Newport · 11/07, 21:30
Prediction: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexis Galarneau
Jacob Fearnley
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexis Galarneau
5-5 (W-L)
Jacob Fearnley
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexis Galarneau 1552 · Jacob Fearnley 1559
| Alexis Galarneau | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexis Galarneau makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Alexis Galarneau | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.7 | 14.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexis Galarneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex Michelsen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-19 | W |
| 17/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model gives 62% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.