Tennis · Challenger Newport · 10/07, 17:00
Prediction: Arthur Gea vs Adam Walton
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Gea
Adam Walton
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Gea
6-4 (W-L)
Adam Walton
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Gea 1537 · Adam Walton 1544
| Arthur Gea | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Arthur Gea dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 41.8% break avg.
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Gea | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.6 | 13-10.2 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Gea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Raul Brancaccio Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Karen Khachanov French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Federico Bondioli ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Gea vs Adam Walton?
Our model gives 55% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.