Prediction: Garrett Johns vs Darwin Blanch
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Darwin Blanch; the market gives 75% to Darwin Blanch (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Garrett Johns is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Darwin Blanch 6-4 over theirs.
| Garrett Johns | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Garrett Johns 1–0 Darwin Blanch (1).
Statistics
| Garrett Johns | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10 | 12.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 35.8% |
H2H · Garrett Johns 1 – 0 Darwin Blanch (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Garrett Johns 1–0 Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/23 Challenger Cary | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Garrett Johns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Eero Vasa Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Michalis Sakellaridis Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/04 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Jan Jermar Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Filip Cristian Jianu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Tristan Schoolkate French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Timofey Skatov French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Garrett Johns vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 65% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.