Tennis · Challenger Newport · 10/07, 19:40
Prediction: Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexis Galarneau
Daniel Milavsky
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexis Galarneau
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Milavsky
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexis Galarneau
1–0
Daniel Milavsky
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexis Galarneau 1555 · Daniel Milavsky 1544
| Alexis Galarneau | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alexis Galarneau 1–0 Daniel Milavsky (1).
- Note: Alexis Galarneau makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alexis Galarneau | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.6 | 11.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 69% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Alexis Galarneau 1 – 0 Daniel Milavsky (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexis Galarneau 1–0 Daniel Milavsky
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Challenger Baton Rouge | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Daniel Milavsky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Christian Langmo Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/06 | William Manning Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel Milavsky?
Our model gives 58% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.