Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 11/07, 10:00

Prediction: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilas

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Marc-Andrea Huesler Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marc-Andrea Huesler 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLWLWL
Edas Butvilas 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marc-Andrea Huesler 1475 · Edas Butvilas 1479
Marc-Andrea HueslerEdas Butvilas
Our model49%51%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Marc-Andrea HueslerEdas Butvilas
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41-1.2
Games (G-P)12.1-11.911.1-11.1
Aces7.65.4
Double faults2.41.6
1st serve %70.8%73%
Break %38.6%28.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.80 Under 22.5: 48% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marc-Andrea Huesler

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/06 Zachary Svajda
ATP Mallorca · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Martin Landaluce
ATP Halle · Grass
1-2 15-16 L
07/06 Gauthier Onclin
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
06/06 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
2-0 13-6 W
01/06 Zhizhen Zhang
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
1-2 14-15 L
31/05 Alexis Galarneau
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
2-1 18-17 W
16/05 Clement Tabur
ATP Geneva · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
13/04 Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Munich · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
12/04 Marko Topo
ATP Munich · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
11/04 Jan Choinski
ATP Munich · Clay
2-1 16-14 W

Edas Butvilas

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
22/06 Moez Echargui
Wimbledon · Grass
1-2 14-16 L
14/06 Cruz Hewitt
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 14-15 L
04/06 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/06 Trevor Svajda
Challenger Tyler · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
26/05 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
20/05 Alexander Bublik
ATP Geneva · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/05 Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Geneva · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/05 James Duckworth
ATP Geneva · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
16/05 Alexandre Muller
ATP Geneva · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilas?

Our model gives 52% to Marc-Andrea Huesler, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.