Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 11/07, 12:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Calvin Hemery
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Calvin Hemery
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
3-7 (W-L)
Calvin Hemery
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1448 · Calvin Hemery 1503
| Daniel Michalski | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Hemery (rating 1448 vs 1503).
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.7 | 12.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 18.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 76% | 21% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Hynek Barton Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Florent Bax Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 09/05 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Calvin Hemery?
Our model gives 56% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.