Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 11/07, 14:30
Prediction: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Cina
Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina
3-7 (W-L)
Patrick Zahraj
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1489 · Patrick Zahraj 1436
| Federico Cina | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Cina (rating 1489 vs 1436).
- Note: Patrick Zahraj makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Federico Cina | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.4 | 10.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 27.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +4.2
Over 19.5: 77% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 23% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gianluca Cadenasso Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Reilly Opelka French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 27-23 | W |
Patrick Zahraj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Justin Schlageter M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Nemanja Malesevic M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Freddie Ridout M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 02/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Henry Lieberman M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj?
Our model gives 71% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.