Tennis · ATP Gstaad · 11/07, 13:00
Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrich
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Dylan Dietrich
Estimated games
25.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
8-2 (W-L)
Dylan Dietrich
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1577 · Dylan Dietrich 1556
| Otto Virtanen | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.5-14.1 | 11.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 14.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 81.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.9
Over 21.5: 75% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 25% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Ben Shelton Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Martinez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Dylan Dietrich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Adrien Burdet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Louis Wessels M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrich?
Our model gives 59% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.