Tennis · ATP Umag · 11/07, 18:30

Prediction: Norbert Gombos vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Norbert Gombos Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Norbert Gombos 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWWL
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Norbert Gombos 1532 · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1511
Norbert GombosNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Our model53%47%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Norbert GombosNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.3-1.3
Games (G-P)11.2-1012.5-12.8
Aces5.62.2
Double faults2.42.8
1st serve %75.4%67.2%
Break %36.4%39%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.4
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.90 Under 21.5: 40% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Norbert Gombos

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Sebastian Ofner
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Orlando Luz
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Marc Majdandzic
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
30/06 Elmer Moller
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
29/06 Georgii Kravchenko
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
28/06 Manuel Mazza
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
17/06 Dalibor Svrcina
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Olle Wallin
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
15/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
15/06 Aleksander Blus
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Trieste · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
09/07 Alex Barrena
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
22/06 Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
15/06 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Parma · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
12/06 Tristan Boyer
Challenger Lyon · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
10/06 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-1 14-16 W
09/06 Robin Bertrand
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/06 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
05/06 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Norbert Gombos vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?

Our model gives 60% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.