Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Mili Poljicak
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Neumayer
Mili Poljicak
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Neumayer
6-4 (W-L)
Mili Poljicak
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lukas Neumayer
1–0
Mili Poljicak
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1531 · Mili Poljicak 1495
| Lukas Neumayer | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Mili Poljicak (1).
Statistics
| Lukas Neumayer | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.1 | 11.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Lukas Neumayer 1 – 0 Mili Poljicak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Mili Poljicak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/25 Challenger Rome | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Remy Bertola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Mili Poljicak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Karma M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Frano Sucic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Mili Poljicak?
Our model gives 61% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.