Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Duje Ajdukovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Duje Ajdukovic
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
6-4 (W-L)
Duje Ajdukovic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Cecchinato
1–0
Duje Ajdukovic
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1555 · Duje Ajdukovic 1499
| Marco Cecchinato | Duje Ajdukovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1555 vs 1499).
- Head-to-head: Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Duje Ajdukovic (1).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Duje Ajdukovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12 | 12.4-12.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.3
Over 20.5: 72% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 28% · 1.83
H2H · Marco Cecchinato 1 – 0 Duje Ajdukovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Duje Ajdukovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/25 Challenger Lisbon | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Duje Ajdukovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 15/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Ivan Biletic M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 04/06 | Dylan Dietrich M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Florian Zimmer M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Noa Vukadin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Mili Poljicak M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Duje Ajdukovic?
Our model gives 67% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.