Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 11/07, 11:00
Prediction: Ilya Snitari vs Filippo Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilya Snitari
Filippo Mazzola
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Snitari
8-2 (W-L)
Filippo Mazzola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilya Snitari 1554 · Filippo Mazzola 1535
| Ilya Snitari | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ilya Snitari | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9 | 9.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilya Snitari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Niccolo Catini M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Marko Bekeni M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Rihards Neimanis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Doni Gashi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Aleksandre Bakshi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Kalin Ivanovski Davis Cup |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Filippo Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilya Snitari vs Filippo Mazzola?
Our model gives 65% to Ilya Snitari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.