Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 10/07, 10:30
Prediction: Filippo Mazzola vs Matei Florin Breazu
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Matei Florin Breazu; the market gives 50% to Matei Florin Breazu (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Filippo Mazzola with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Matei Florin Breazu has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Mazzola 1530 · Matei Florin Breazu 1587
| Filippo Mazzola | Matei Florin Breazu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matei Florin Breazu (rating 1530 vs 1587).
Statistics
| Filippo Mazzola | Matei Florin Breazu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-8.8 | 12.5-9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Freddy Murray M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Matei Florin Breazu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 08/07 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Mate Valkusz UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcell Bartakovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Gabor Hornung UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Mazzola vs Matei Florin Breazu?
Our model gives 54% to Matei Florin Breazu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.