Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Henrik Bladelius vs Luka Talan Lopatic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Henrik Bladelius; the market gives 50% to Henrik Bladelius (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Henrik Bladelius sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Luka Talan Lopatic arrives on a 3-7 run.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henrik Bladelius 1551 · Luka Talan Lopatic 1518
| Henrik Bladelius | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Henrik Bladelius makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Henrik Bladelius | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henrik Bladelius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Mircea Mortasifu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Yannick Castelnuovo M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Devon Moskowitz M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Eric Ahren Moonga M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/10 | Kevin Edengren UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Yannic Nittmann UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 30/10 | Andrew Hayduke II UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Andreas Timini UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Iannis Miletich M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Markel Garay Eceolaza M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henrik Bladelius vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Our model gives 52% to Henrik Bladelius, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.