Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 10/07, 09:00
Prediction: William Mirarchi vs Luka Talan Lopatic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to William Mirarchi; the market gives 54% to Luka Talan Lopatic (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, William Mirarchi sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Luka Talan Lopatic arrives on a 4-6 run.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · William Mirarchi 1529 · Luka Talan Lopatic 1529
| William Mirarchi | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| William Mirarchi | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.7 | 11-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
William Mirarchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Rares Andrei Golescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Iannis Miletich M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 05/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Rajat Shirur M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Matteo Liusso M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Pablo Aunion M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Henrik Bladelius M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Iannis Miletich M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Markel Garay Eceolaza M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in William Mirarchi vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Our model gives 52% to Luka Talan Lopatic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.