Prediction: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Karolina Muchova; the market gives 52% to Karolina Muchova (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Karolina Muchova sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Linda Noskova arrives on a 8-2 run.
| Karolina Muchova | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 52% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Linda Noskova dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 48.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Karolina Muchova 1–0 Linda Noskova (1).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Karolina Muchova | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.2 | 12.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 48.8% |
H2H · Karolina Muchova 1 – 0 Linda Noskova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Muchova 1–0 Linda Noskova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/25 US Open Women | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karolina Muchova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Shuai Zhang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Zakharova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Madison Keys WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Linda Noskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Ella Seidel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova?
Our model gives 52% to Karolina Muchova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.