Prediction: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Marta Kostyuk; the market gives 55% to Marta Kostyuk (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Marta Kostyuk with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Linda Noskova has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Marta Kostyuk | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Linda Noskova dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 48.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Marta Kostyuk 1–0 Linda Noskova (1).
- Note: Marta Kostyuk makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Marta Kostyuk | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (5) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-8.7 | 12.5-9 |
| Aces | 4 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 48.2% |
H2H · Marta Kostyuk 1 – 0 Linda Noskova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marta Kostyuk 1–0 Linda Noskova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Kostyuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Blinkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Nadia Podoroska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Viktorija Golubic French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Katie Volynets French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Linda Noskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Ella Seidel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova?
Our model gives 53% to Marta Kostyuk, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.