Prediction: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Andre Ilagan; the market gives 69% to Liam Broady (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Liam Broady with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Andre Ilagan has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
| Liam Broady | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andre Ilagan (rating 1490 vs 1542).
- Andre Ilagan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Liam Broady 2–0 Andre Ilagan (2).
Statistics
| Liam Broady | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 12.4-12 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 62% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 36.4% |
H2H · Liam Broady 2 – 0 Andre Ilagan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liam Broady 2–0 Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Challenger Miyazaki | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/02/25 M25 Faro | 2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Broady
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | August Holmgren Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Connor Plunkett Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Fajing Sun Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 57% to Liam Broady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.