Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Adam Walton
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Adam Walton; the market gives 71% to Adam Walton (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Bernard Tomic with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Adam Walton has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Bernard Tomic | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 0–2 Adam Walton (2).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.2 | 12.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 32.3% |
H2H · Bernard Tomic 0 – 2 Adam Walton (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 0–2 Adam Walton
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/25 Challenger Brisbane | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10/23 Challenger Tiburon | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaichi Uchida Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Conor Gannon Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/06 | Alec Deckers ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Adam Walton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Federico Bondioli ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Timo Legout Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Adam Walton?
Our model gives 64% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.