Tennis · WTA Bastad · 09/07, 11:00

Prediction: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Kaitlin Quevedo

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Kaitlin Quevedo; the market gives 77% to Kaitlin Quevedo (odds 1.22).

On recent form, Irene Burillo Escorihuela is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kaitlin Quevedo 6-4 over theirs.

73%2
27% 73%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 1429 · Kaitlin Quevedo 1557
Irene Burillo EscorihuelaKaitlin Quevedo
Our model32%68%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaitlin Quevedo (rating 1429 vs 1557).
  • Kaitlin Quevedo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Irene Burillo Escorihuela 1–0 Kaitlin Quevedo (1).

Statistics

Irene Burillo EscorihuelaKaitlin Quevedo
Win %20%70%
Win % · Clay 20% (10) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.81.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9-13.711.5-10.4
Aces4.52
Double faults1.72.9
1st serve %52.4%64.4%
Break %42.3%40%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.8
Over 18.5: 75% · 1.80 Under 18.5: 25% · 1.90

H2H · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 10 Kaitlin Quevedo (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 10 Kaitlin Quevedo

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/04/25
ITF W100 Madrid
2-114-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
06/07 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
27/05 Tyra Caterina Grant
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Viktoriya Tomova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
13/05 Lea Boskovic
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 7-14 L
06/05 Mina Hodzic
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
21/04 Ayla Aksu
W75 Chiasso · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/04 Marina Bassols Ribera
W75 Portoroz · ~Clay
1-2 8-16 L
06/04 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
WTA Madrid · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Kaitlin Quevedo

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
06/07 Tiana Tian Deng
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Claire Liu
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
23/06 Sayaka Ishii
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
12/06 Laura Samsonova
WTA Modena · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Modena · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
08/06 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Modena · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
27/05 Elina Svitolina
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
25/05 Leolia Jeanjean
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
22/05 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Kaitlin Quevedo?

Our model gives 73% to Kaitlin Quevedo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.