Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Leyre Romero Gormaz; the market gives 42% to Leyre Romero Gormaz (odds 2.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Simona Waltert sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Leyre Romero Gormaz arrives on a 7-3 run.
| Simona Waltert | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyre Romero Gormaz (rating 1503 vs 1588).
- Leyre Romero Gormaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Simona Waltert 0–1 Leyre Romero Gormaz (1).
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.7 | 11.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 49% |
H2H · Simona Waltert 0 – 1 Leyre Romero Gormaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simona Waltert 0–1 Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/25 WTA Antalya | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Katerina Siniakova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Hailey Baptiste WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/05 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Xiaodi You WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Viola Turini WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz?
Our model gives 51% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.