Tennis · WTA Bastad · 09/07, 11:00
Prediction: Sinja Kraus vs Yulia Putintseva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Yulia Putintseva; the market gives 59% to Yulia Putintseva (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Sinja Kraus with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Yulia Putintseva has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sinja Kraus 1508 · Yulia Putintseva 1550
| Sinja Kraus | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yulia Putintseva (rating 1508 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Sinja Kraus | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.1 | 11.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 50% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Claire Liu WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yulia Putintseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Martha Matoula WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Talia Gibson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/05 | McCartney Kessler WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sinja Kraus vs Yulia Putintseva?
Our model gives 58% to Yulia Putintseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.