Tennis · Wimbledon · 10/07, 14:30
Prediction: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Alexander Zverev; the market gives 83% to Alexander Zverev (odds 1.14).
On recent form, Arthur Fery is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alexander Zverev 10-0 over theirs.
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fery 1590 · Alexander Zverev 1615
| Arthur Fery | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arthur Fery | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.2-1.1 | 2.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 18.2-15 | 19.2-14.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 13.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 81.5% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
30.5 · Bet365 line 35.5 · -5
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-29 | W |
| 02/07 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 30/06 | Damir Dzumhur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alexander Zverev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-21 | W |
| 04/07 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Blockx Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-23 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 28-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev?
Our model gives 70% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.