Tennis · Wimbledon · 08/07, 14:00

Prediction: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Flavio Cobolli; the market gives 70% to Flavio Cobolli (odds 1.36).

On recent form, Flavio Cobolli is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Arthur Fery 4-6 over theirs.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Flavio Cobolli 1585 · Arthur Fery 1582
Flavio CobolliArthur Fery
Our model50%50%
Market70%30%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Flavio Cobolli 0–1 Arthur Fery (1).

Statistics

Flavio CobolliArthur Fery
Win %80%70%
Win % · Grass 80% (5) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)2.6-1.12-1.3
Games (G-P)19.9-17.317.4-15.5
Aces94.7
Double faults31.9
1st serve %74%72.5%
Break %37.9%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 30.8 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -8.7
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

H2H · Flavio Cobolli 01 Arthur Fery (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Flavio Cobolli 01 Arthur Fery

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/01/26
Australian Open
0-311-19L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flavio Cobolli

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Alex De Minaur
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 20-14 W
04/07 Karen Khachanov
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 25-23 W
02/07 James Duckworth
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 23-19 W
01/07 Mariano Navone
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 21-21 W
15/06 Frances Tiafoe
ATP Halle · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
07/06 Alexander Zverev
French Open · Clay
2-3 19-28 L
03/06 Felix Auger Aliassime
French Open · Clay
3-1 22-18 W
01/06 Zachary Svajda
French Open · Clay
3-1 25-18 W
30/05 Learner Tien
French Open · Clay
3-0 18-7 W
28/05 Yibing Wu
French Open · Clay
3-0 18-12 W

Arthur Fery

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 27-27 W
04/07 Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 25-29 W
02/07 Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 24-19 W
30/06 Damir Dzumhur
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 21-11 W
24/06 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
23/06 Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 17-13 W
19/06 Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Queens · Grass
1-2 16-16 L
17/06 Adrian Mannarino
ATP Queens · Grass
2-0 13-10 W
16/06 Toby Samuel
ATP Queens · Grass
2-0 12-2 W
07/06 Bu Yunchaokete
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
1-2 11-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery?

Our model gives 61% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.