Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Taylor Fritz; the market gives 50% to Taylor Fritz (odds 1.91).
Recent form leaves Taylor Fritz with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Alexander Zverev has piled up 10-0 in the same span.
| Taylor Fritz | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 9–1 Alexander Zverev (10).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-0.8 | 2.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 17-13.6 | 19.6-15.2 |
| Aces | 17 | 12.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 83.1% | 81.7% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 37.7% |
H2H · Taylor Fritz 9 – 1 Alexander Zverev (10)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 9–1 Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 ATP Halle | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/10/25 Six Kings Slam | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09/25 Laver Cup | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06/25 ATP Stuttgart | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/11/24 ATP World Tour Finals | 2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/09/24 Laver Cup | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09/24 US Open | 3-1 | 23-22 | W |
| 08/07/24 Wimbledon | 3-2 | 29-26 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Kypson Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 18/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-21 | W |
| 04/07 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Blockx Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-23 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 28-19 | W |
| 05/06 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev?
Our model gives 51% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.