Prediction: Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloney
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Garrett Johns; the market gives 59% to Patrick Maloney (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Garrett Johns is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Patrick Maloney 5-5 over theirs.
| Garrett Johns | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Patrick Maloney dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Garrett Johns 1–0 Patrick Maloney (1).
- Note: Patrick Maloney makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Garrett Johns | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10 | 9.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 71% |
| Break % | 29.7% | 42.1% |
H2H · Garrett Johns 1 – 0 Patrick Maloney (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Garrett Johns 1–0 Patrick Maloney
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/25 M15 Naples | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Garrett Johns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Eero Vasa Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Michalis Sakellaridis Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/04 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Jan Jermar Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/04 | Dominik Recek Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Patrick Maloney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Luca Pow Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Chicago · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloney?
Our model gives 53% to Patrick Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.