Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 09/07, 10:00

Prediction: Ilya Snitari vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Ilya Snitari; the market gives 69% to Ilya Snitari (odds 1.36).

Recent form leaves Ilya Snitari with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Stefan Adrian Andreescu has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

62%1
62% 38%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ilya Snitari 1527 · Stefan Adrian Andreescu 1500
Ilya SnitariStefan Adrian Andreescu
Our model54%46%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Ilya Snitari 4–1 Stefan Adrian Andreescu (5).

Statistics

Ilya SnitariStefan Adrian Andreescu
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81-1.1
Games (G-P)11.2-9.410-9.4
Aces1.50.3
Double faults2.10.9
1st serve %66.2%61.7%
Break %44.2%50.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

H2H · Ilya Snitari 41 Stefan Adrian Andreescu (5)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilya Snitari 41 Stefan Adrian Andreescu

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/12/24
M15 Antalya
1-212-16L
17/08/24
ITF M15 Targu Jiu
2-013-10W
06/06/24
UTR Pro Bucharest
2-012-4W
30/11/23
M15 Antalya
2-012-6W
05/12/21
UTR Pro Tennis Series Bucharest
2-115-13W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ilya Snitari

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Niccolo Ciavarella
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Semen Pankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
02/07 Marko Bekeni
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/06 Rihards Neimanis
Davis Cup
2-0 13-9 W
12/06 Doni Gashi
Davis Cup
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Aleksandre Bakshi
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W
10/06 Kalin Ivanovski
Davis Cup
1-2 10-16 L
26/05 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
22/05 Radu Mihai Papoe
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/05 Erik Schiessl
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Stefan Adrian Andreescu

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 David Eichenseher
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
21/06 Nicolas Barrientos
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/06 Stefan Palosi
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 David Eichenseher
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/06 Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Anas Mazdrashki
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
12/06 Stefan Horia Haita
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-1 17-16 W
09/06 Mircea Mortasifu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/06 Franco Ribero
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/05 Alex Martinez
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ilya Snitari vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu?

Our model gives 62% to Ilya Snitari, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.