Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 09/07, 03:00

Prediction: Yusuke Takahashi vs Omar Jasika

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Omar Jasika; the market gives 54% to Omar Jasika (odds 1.73).

Over their last 10 matches, Yusuke Takahashi sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Omar Jasika arrives on a 9-1 run.

56%2
44% 56%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yusuke Takahashi 1500 · Omar Jasika 1569
Yusuke TakahashiOmar Jasika
Our model40%60%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1500 vs 1569).
  • Omar Jasika is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Yusuke TakahashiOmar Jasika
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.7-0.5
Games (G-P)11.8-1312-6.5
Aces41.1
Double faults1.72.9
1st serve %66.3%72.4%
Break %37.3%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

H2H · Yusuke Takahashi 11 Omar Jasika (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yusuke Takahashi 11 Omar Jasika

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DateSetsGamesRes.
03/05/26
Challenger Wuxi
2-012-6W
09/03/22
ITF M25 Bendigo
0-27-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yusuke Takahashi

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Sora Fukuda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
02/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/06 Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/06 Masamichi Imamura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
01/06 Harold Mayot
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 13-19 L
28/05 Edward Winter
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
26/05 Mert Alkaya
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/05 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Ryuki Matsuda
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/05 Hayato Matsuoka
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
1-2 14-18 L

Omar Jasika

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Kousuke Ogura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 13-10 W
03/07 Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Riku Takahata
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Ko Suzuki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/06 Scott Jones
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 17-17 L
20/06 Marcus Schoeman
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Daniel Jankoski
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
18/06 Alexander Despoja
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Zane Stevens
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
15/06 Jera Staley
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yusuke Takahashi vs Omar Jasika?

Our model gives 56% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.