Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Kasidit Samrej
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Kasidit Samrej; the market gives 86% to Kasidit Samrej (odds 1.10).
On recent form, Makoto Ochi is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kasidit Samrej 5-5 over theirs.
| Makoto Ochi | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasidit Samrej (rating 1495 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Makoto Ochi | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.4 | 12.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 33.4% |
H2H · Makoto Ochi 1 – 1 Kasidit Samrej (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Makoto Ochi 1–1 Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 M25 Nakhon Pathom | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/09/22 Challenger Nonthaburi | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Makoto Ochi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Shu Muto M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Uisung Park M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Seung-Min Oh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Anton Shepp M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Alan Magadan M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 73% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.