Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs Ryuki Matsuda
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Koki Matsuda; the market gives 66% to Koki Matsuda (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Koki Matsuda with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Ryuki Matsuda has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
| Koki Matsuda | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Koki Matsuda dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Koki Matsuda 0–1 Ryuki Matsuda (1).
Statistics
| Koki Matsuda | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.8 | 10.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 44.9% |
H2H · Koki Matsuda 0 – 1 Ryuki Matsuda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Koki Matsuda 0–1 Ryuki Matsuda
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/24 ITF M15 Nakhon Si Thammarat | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Ko Suzuki M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/04 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ryuki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Skander Nsairi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs Ryuki Matsuda?
Our model gives 60% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.